Jeffrey A. Hirsch (Hirsch, Jeffrey A.)

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More editions of The Little Book of Stock Market Cycles (Little Books. Big Profits):

  • The MAGNET Method of Investing: Find, Trade, and Profit from Exceptional Stocks (Almanac Investor Series)
    by Jordan L. Kimmel, Jeffrey A. Hirsch
    ISBN 047027929X (0-470-27929-X)
    Hardcover, Wiley

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    Praise for The Magnet® Method of Investing

    "Rather than encouraging the scatter shot approach of broad diversification, Jordan focuses on the rifle-shot Magnet® method of identifying a limited number of quality stocks to improve your chances of beating the market."
    Sam Stovall, Chief Investment Strategist, Standard & Poor's Equity Research

    "Jordan Kimmel is one of the brightest market observers out there, and he is certainly a rising star that will be an important person to follow marketwise for many years."
    Michael Burke, Coeditor, Investors Intelligence, Inc.

    "Jordan Kimmel's The Magnet® Method of Investing is an amazing, detailed, and intuitive book. I especially enjoyed Jordan's insights into diversification, the inefficient market, and identifying stocks that are in their 'sweet spot.' Jordan's writing style is also very straightforward and refreshing. He succeeds in taking complicated subjects and explaining them in an insightful way. This is simply an incredible book that is a must-read for both beginning and serious investors."
    Louis G. Navellier, Chairman and founder, Navellier & Associates, Inc.

    "The Magnet® Method of Investing examines investing from a different perspective than many investors often see, offering a unique alternative to diversification. Jordan Kimmel has analyzed the methods of the best investors through time and introduces his robust stock selection process."
    David M. Darst, CFA, Managing Director and Chief Investment Strategist, Morgan Stanley Global Wealth Management Group

    "We welcome Jordan's book as a valuable perspective on investing. The Wall Street Transcript applauds money managers like Jordan who explain their philosophies clearly, support them with research, and back them up with performance data. This is a great addition to any investing reading list."
    Andrew Pickup, Publisher and CEO, The Wall Street Transcript

    "The Magnet® Method of Investing takes on the important issue of diversification, which has been oversold to Main Street. This is yet another example of the need to 'go against conventional thinking' if you want to achieve superior results."
    Stan Weinstein, Editor and Publisher, Global Trend Alert

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  • Stock Market Cycles: How To Use Them for Short and Long Term Profits (Wiley Trading Video)
    by Jeffrey A. Hirsch
    ISBN 1118692616 (1-118-69261-6)
    Wiley

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    Book summary:

    Run time: 1 hr 2 min. Today's top expert on stock market cycles presents his short- and long-term market forecasts and how he uses cycles to help time the market

    In Stock Market Cycles, Jeff Hirsch, Editor of the venerable Stock Trader's Almanac, reveals how to interpret stock market history to forecast future movements. He identifies major cycles, including: war and peace; secular bull and bear markets; presidential term cycles; and shorter-term seasonal cycles.

    Given the confluence of cycles, Hirsch forecasts that the Dow Jones average will likely drop below 10,000 through late 2014. After a major rally and then another decline, he believes a secular bull market will emerge around 2018, which could drive the market up five-fold by 2025. Several factors will converge to create this stock market boom later in the decade. While this forecast may seem extreme, Hirsch shows that it is consistent with past stock market behavior following World War II and the Vietnam War. Hirsch also discusses shorter term cycles, including the "Best Six Months Strategy," which has massively outperformed the overall market for many years as well as what to expect each year of the new presidential term.

    • Reveals the hottest sectors to trade in during the next several years
    • Examines how the stock market performs each year of the presidential cycle
    • Discusses which are the best months to be in and the best months to be out of the stock market
    • Traces the likely path of the stock market through 2025

    The Hirsch Organization has a long history of accurate forecasts and market-beating returns. In this software course, Jeff Hirsch succinctly summarizes his approach and provides a road map to profiting in the market during the years ahead.

    More editions of Stock Market Cycles: How To Use Them for Short and Long Term Profits (Wiley Trading Video):

  • Hirsch, Jeffrey A.: Stock Trader's Almanac
  • Stock Trader's Almanac 2003
    by Yale Hirsch, Jeffrey A. Hirsch
    ISBN 1889223034 (1-889223-03-4)
    Hirsch Organization

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    Book summary:

    Praise from market professionals for the Stock Trader's Almanac:

    "I have every issue since 1976 in my bookcase. They are an invaluable resource."-- Marty Zweig, Managing Director, Zweig-DiMenna Associates, LLC

    "It's a treasure for investors who want to remember the past as they plan for the future."-- Louis Rukeyser, host and commentator of "Louis Rukeyser's Wall Street" and Editor-In-Chief of Louis Rukeyser's Wall Street and Louis Rukeyser's Mutual Funds newsletters

    The Stock Trader's Almanac is the only investment tool that will help you forecast market trends with accuracy and confidence! With the Stock Trader's Almanac, you'll have at your fingertips all the historical price information on the stock market, monthly and daily trading reminders, and seasonal market opportunities. This wealth of information has established the Stock Trader's Almanac as "The Most Influential Book on Wall Street" among money managers, journalists, traders and savvy investors.

    As the coming year is a Presidential election year, the 2004 Stock Trader's Almanac updates crucial market tendencies unique to an election year and provides key indicators such as:

    • Market charts of Presidential election years
    • Incumbent victories vs. incumbent defeats pattern
    • The Presidential election/stock market cycle
    • How the market acts as a barometer between the last convention and Election Day

    Additionally, the 2004 Edition contains updated seasonal, monthly, daily and intra-day patterns; major indicators such as the "Incredible January Barometer"; the Market Probability Calendar; and bullish and bearish reminders for practically every trading day.

  • Stock Trader's Almanac 2004 (Almanac Investor Series)
    by Jeffrey A. Hirsch , Yale Hirsch
    ISBN 0471477540 (0-471-47754-0)
    Wiley

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    Book summary:

    Book by Hirsch Organization

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  • Stock Trader's Almanac 2005 (Almanac Investor Series)
    by Jeffrey A. Hirsch , Yale Hirsch, Hirsch Organization
    ISBN 0471649368 (0-471-64936-8)
    Wiley

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    Book summary:

    This practical investment tool contains a wealth of information you can use to enhance your profit potential. Organized on a calendar basis, the Almanac alerts you to little-known market patterns and tendencies useful in forecasting market trends. You'll learn:

    • How our presidential elections affect the economy and the stock market.
    • How the passage of the Twentieth Amendment to the Constitution fathered the January Barometer, which has a 90.7% accuracy ratio.
    • Why there is a significant market bias at certain times of the day, week, month, and year.

    Even if you pay scant attention to cycles, indicators, and patterns, your investment survival could hinge on your interpretation on one of the recurring patterns found with these pages. Order your copy today!

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  • Stock Trader's Almanac 2005 with eGrade Plus Stand Alone Set
    by Jeffrey A. Hirsch
    ISBN 0471767301 (0-471-76730-1)
    Hardcover, John Wiley & Sons

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    Book summary:

    This practical investment tool contains a wealth of information you can use to enhance your profit potential. Organized on a calendar basis, the Almanac alerts you to little-known market patterns and tendencies useful in forecasting market trends. You'll learn: How our presidential elections affect the economy and the stock market. How the passage of the Twentieth Amendment to the Constitution fathered the January Barometer, which has a 90.7% accuracy ratio. Why there is a significant market bias at certain times of the day, week, month, and year.

    Even if you pay scant attention to cycles, indicators, and patterns, your investment survival could hinge on your interpretation on one of the recurring patterns found with these pages. Order your copy today!

  • Stock Trader's Almanac 2008 (Almanac Investor Series)
    by Jeffrey A. Hirsch
    ISBN 0470109858 (0-470-10985-8)
    Wiley

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    Book summary:

    Understanding the past and being aware of the present are essential to successfully navigating the commodities markets. To make the most of your time in these markets -- whether you're trading or hedging -- you need the invaluable insights that can only be found in the Commodity Trader's Almanac.

    Organized in an easy-to-access calendar format based on the bestselling Stock Trader's Almanac, the Commodity Trader's Almanac 2008:

    • Highlights important market-based data and informs you of different market tendencies.
    • Features monthly almanac pages based around three major groupings?metals, petroleum, and agriculture.
    • Alerts you to both seasonal opportunities and dangers.
    • Provides monthly and daily reminders.
    • Furnishes a historical viewpoint by providing pertinent statistics on past market performance as well as the supply/demand trends that create them.

    Filled with a wealth of information regarding futures and commodities -- from crude oil and coffee to gold and sugar -- the Commodity Trader's Almanac 2008 will help you locate potentially beneficial market opportunities throughout the course of the year.

    Visit stocktradersalmanac.com for more information on this and other Almanac products.

  • Stock Trader's Almanac 2009 (Almanac Investor Series)
    by Yale Hirsch, Jeffrey A. Hirsch
    ISBN 0470229020 (0-470-22902-0)
    Wiley

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    Book summary:

    Turn to Stock Trader's Almanac 2009, the indispensable annual resource, trusted for over 40 years by traders and investors. This practical investment tool includes historical patterns and little-known market trends and tendencies to help market participants forecast market trends with accuracy and confidence. Savvy professionals like money managers and journalists use this guide, which encapsulates the historical price information on the stock market, provides monthly and daily reminders, and alerts you to seasonal opportunities and dangers so that you can avoid making costly mistakes.

    More editions of Stock Trader's Almanac 2009 (Almanac Investor Series):

  • Stock Trader's Almanac 2010 (Almanac Investor Series)
    by Jeffrey A. Hirsch , John L. Person
    ISBN 0470422173 (0-470-42217-3)
    Wiley

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    Book summary:

    For over 40 years, thousands of market players have turned to the historical patterns found only in the Stock Traders Almanac. This is an indispensable, trusted annual resource for traders and investors.

    The Stock Traders Almanac 2010 is packed with timely insights and targeted analysis to help you navigate turbulent markets and beat the odds in the year ahead. Organized into a calendar format, the trusted guide combines over a centurys worth of data, statistics and trends along with vital analysis you wont get anywhere else. Stock Traders Almanac 2010 highlights include:

    • NEW  How Financial Crises Impact the Market; The Ten Worst Bear Markets Since 1900
    • Dow Jones Industrials Bull and Bear Markets Since 1900
    • The Tenth Year of Decades  Historical perspective on 10th year performance
    • Alerts on seasonal opportunities and dangers
    • Insights on the Midterm Elections Impact on the Market including market charts and trends
    • The Incredible January Barometer (91.2% proven accuracy)
    • Why a 50% Gain in the Dow Is Possible from Its 2010 Low To Its 2011 High
    • Wall Streets Only Free Lunch Served Before Christmas

    Packed with invaluable historical statistics, seasonal trends, cycle analysis, and crucial indicators, this easy-to-use desk reference is a must-have traders bible.

  • Hirsch, Jeffrey A.: Stock Trader's Almanac 2011 - CUSTOM James UK (Almanac Investor Series)
  • Hirsch, Jeffrey A.: Stock Trader's Almanac 2011 (Almanac Investor Series)
    Stock Trader's Almanac 2011 (Almanac Investor Series)
    by Jeffrey A. Hirsch , Yale Hirsch
    ISBN 1118027914 (1-118-02791-4)
    Hardcover, Wiley

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    Book summary:

    A time-tested guide to stock trading

    Published every year since 1968, the Stock Trader's Almanac is a practical investment tool with a wealth of information organized in calendar format. Everyone from well-known money managers to savvy traders and investors relies upon this annual resource for its in-depth analyses and insights. The Stock Trader's Almanac 2011 contains essential historical price information on the stock market, provides monthly and daily reminders, and highlights seasonal trading opportunities and dangers.

    • Alerts you to little-known market patterns and tendencies to help forecast market trends with accuracy and confidence
    • An indispensable annual resource, trusted for over 40 years by traders and investors
    • The data in the Almanac is some of the cleanest in the business

    For its wealth of information and the authority of its sources, the Stock Trader's Almanac stands alone as the guide to intelligent investing.

  • Stock Trader's Almanac 2012 (Almanac Investor Series)
    by Jeffrey A. Hirsch , Yale Hirsch
    ISBN 1118048695 (1-118-04869-5)
    Wiley

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    Book summary:

    Q&A With Jeffery Hirsh, Editor-in-Chief of Stock Traders Almanac Jeffery Hirsh
    What is the biggest trend in the markets to watch for 2012 and how can investors prepare for it? Outside of the four-year cycle, sovereign debt concerns remain a major obstacle to markets in 2012. Beyond the threat of credit rating downgrades, any further austerity measures enacted to balance budgets could potentially cause severe damage to what has been a fragile economic recovery. What differentiates the Stock Trader's Almanac approach to investing from other approaches out in the market? Beyond our 45 year history, our research of seasonal patterns and cycles does not bind our readers to one corner of the market. Our research can be applied in nearly any trading strategy. Whether trading individual stocks or options on an index futures contract, our analysis can provide traders with an edge. Quote: "If the market does not rally, as it should during bullish seasonal periods, it is a sign that other forces are stronger and that when the seasonal period ends these forces will really have their say." Edson Gould The Almanac is often quoted in the media and is famously known for a few key indicators that you follow. What are these indicators and how can investors trade them? Two of our widely known indicators are the January Barometer and the "Best Six Months". The January Barometer simply states: "As January goes, so goes the year." The January Barometer can only be applied to markets going back to the passage of the 20th Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, the "lame duck" amendment. It made January a politically significant month in addition to the importance of being the first month of the New Year. Strength in January is a positive sign that can be used to increase long market exposure. Down Januarys on the other hand are negative omens. Every down January since 1950 was followed by a new or continuing bear market, a 10% or greater correction, or a flat year. A substantial amount of our research and trading advice revolves around the markets "Best Six Months". What our research has shown is that the market makes the bulk of its gains in just six months of the year, November through April, hence the roots of "Sell in May". Traders and investors can enjoy the bulk of the gains with half the risk of buy and hold. The key to the Best Six Months for investors is to look for technical buying opportunity in October ahead of the usually bullish period and a selling opportunity in April or May. Last year you came out with Super Boom prediction for a coming market boom. Has the fluctuating market changed this prediction at all? Will the 2012 Almanac discuss this prediction? Yes we do cover the prediction in the 2012 Almanac and No the prediction has not changed. In our 2011 Annual Forecast sent to our subscribers in December 2010 we forecasted an early 2011 DJIA high in the 13000-14000 range. DJIA peaked in April at 12810. We also forecast a correction of 15-20%. From its April high to its October low, DJIA declined 16.8%. For full-year 2011 we forecast gains of 5-10% for the DJIA, which we still expect. This forecast was integrated into the Fifteen Year Projection chart found on page 74 of the Stock Traders Almanac 2012. Trends to Watch and Trade in 2012 By Jeffery Hirsh, Editor-in-Chief, of Stock Traders Almanac Presidential Election Years 2nd Best in Four-Year-Cycle It is no mere coincidence that the last two years (pre-election year and election year) of the 44 administrations since 1833 produced a total net market gain of 718.5%, dwarfing the 273.1% gain of the first two years of these administrations. Presidential elections every four years have a profound impact on the economy and the stock market. Wars, recessions and bear markets tend to start or occur in the first half of the term; prosperous times and bull markets, in the latter half. After nine straight annual Dow gains during the millennial bull, the four-year election cycle reasserted its overarching domination of market behavior the last 11 years. However, 2008 was the worst presidential election year on record. Only Two Losses In Last Seven Months Of Election Years Regardless which Party is victorious, the last seven months have seen gains on the S&P 500 in 13 of the 15 presidential election years since 1950. One loss was in 2000 when the election's outcome was delayed for 36 tumultuous days, though the Dow did gain ground in the last seven months of 2000. Financial crisis and the worst bear market since the Great Depression impacted 2008. First Five Months Better When Party Retains White House Since 1901 there have been 27 presidential elections. When the Party in power retained the White House 16 times, the Dow was up 1.5% on average for the first five months, compared to a 4.6% loss the 11 times the Party was ousted. Since 1950, retaining the White House 7 times brought an average gain of 1.9% compared to 0.1% the other 8 times. War Can Be A Major Factor In Presidential Races Democrats used to lose the White House on foreign shores (1920 WW1, 1952 Korea, 1968 Vietnam, 1980 Iran Crisis). Republicans on the other hand lost it here at home (1912 Party split, 1932 Depression, 1960 Economy, 1976 Watergate). Homeland issues dominated elections the last three decades with the Republican loss in 1992 (Economy), and the Democratic loss in 2000 (Scandal), and the Republican loss in 2008 (Economy). As we've learned over the years, it all depends on who the candidates are in 2012. Market Bottoms Two Years After A Presidential Election A takeover of the White House by the opposing party in the past 50 years (1960, 1968, 1976, 1980, 1992, 2000, 2008) has resulted in a bottom within two years, except 1994, a flat year. When incumbent parties retained power (1964, 1972, 1984, 1988, 1996, 2004) stocks often bottomed within two years later as well, except 1984 (three years, 1987) and 2004 (one year, flat 2005). Whatever the outcome in 2012, we could see a bottom by 2014. Only Six Election Year Declines Greater Than 5% Since 1896 Presidential election years are the second best performing year of the four-year cycle. Incumbent parties lost power in five of the six years with declines greater than 5%. Five losses occurred at the end of the second term. FDR defeated Hoover in 1932 and was re-elected to an unprecedented third term as WWII ravaged Europe. Election year 2012 marks the end of the incumbent partys first term, improving the prospects for a solid year.

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  • Stock Trader's Almanac 2013 (Almanac Investor Series)
    by Jeffrey A. Hirsch
    ISBN 1118596587 (1-118-59658-7)
    Softcover, Wiley

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    Book summary:

    Q & A with Jeffrey Hirsch, Editor-in-Chief of Stock Trader's Almanac Jeffrey A. Hirsch What is the biggest trend in the markets to watch for 2013 and how can investors prepare for it?

    There are three key trends for investors to prepare for in 2013. We remain in a secular bear market that began in January 2000 and will likely continue for another five-six years, depending on how the end of combat operations in Afghanistan play out and how quickly the world's debt, deficit, recession and financial woes are remedied.

    The four-year presidential cycle has created a pattern where post-election years are the worst performing. Unless a full-blown bear market occurs in 2012 or the market slogs along into the New Year, market gains will be harder to come by in 2013 than they have since the March 2009 bottom. Seasonal economic behavior has pushed most of the market gains into the six consecutive months November through April. So investors should be prepared for lackluster market action in the latter half of 2013 by taking profits and getting defensive in the spring.

    What differentiates the Stock Trader's Almanac approach to investing from other approaches out in the market?

    The Almanac has been instrumental, if not the foremost champion, in convincing investors, traders and money managers of the importance and benefits of using historical market cycle analysis to increase profits and reduce risk. Our extensive knowledge and understanding of recurring market cycles and seasonal patterns is used in conjunction with fundamental analysis, technical analysis, and economic and monetary policy analysis. We also take into consideration sentiment and psychological factors as well as market internals.

    The Almanac is often quoted in the media and is famously known for a few key indicators that you follow. What are these indicators and how can investors trade them?

    Perhaps the most well know is the January Barometer. Devised by Yale Hirsch in 1972, our January Barometer states that as the S&P 500 goes in January, so goes the year. The indicator has registered only seven major errors since 1950 for an 88.7% accuracy ratio. Bear markets began or continued when Januarys suffered a loss. Should January 2013 be down, that would be a signal that 2013 is going to be a tough year for stocks.

    But before the January Barometer's reading is registered there is the Santa Claus Rally. Santa Claus tends to come to Wall Street nearly every year, bringing a short, sweet, respectable rally within the last five days of the year and the first two in January. This has been good for an average 1.6% gain since 1969 (1.5% since 1950). Santa's failure to show tends to precede bear markets, or times stocks could be purchased later in the year at much lower prices. When we discovered this phenomenon in 1972, we coined the phrase: "If Santa Claus Should Fail to Call, Bears May Come to Broad and Wall."

    The most reliable trading pattern is our Best Six Months Switching Strategy. The saying "Sell in May and Go Away" has become quite well know. But I am amazed at how few fail to realize, and capitalize, on the flip side of this phenomenon. You can't sell in May if you don't buy in October. Investing in the Dow Jones Industrial Average between November 1st and April 30th each year and then switching into fixed income for the other six months has produced reliable returns with reduced risk since 1950. Our Best Months Switching Strategy will not make you an instant millionaire, as other strategies claim they can do. What it will do is steadily build wealth over time with half the risk (or less) of a "buy and hold" approach.

    From the Book: Trends to Watch and Trade in 2013 Post-Election Years Worst Year of the Four-Year-Cycle: Paying the Piper

    It is no mere coincidence that the last two years (pre-election year and election year) of the 45 administrations since 1833 produced a total net market gain of 724.0%, dwarfing the 273.1% gain of the first two years of these administrations. Politics being what it is, incumbent administrations during election years try to make the economy look good to impress the electorate and tend to put off unpopular decisions until the votes are counted. This produces an American phenomenon-the Post-Election Year Syndrome. The year begins with an Inaugural Ball, after which the piper must be paid, and we Americans have often paid dearly in the past 99 years.

    Market Behavior After Sitting President Wins And Losses

    Since the inception of the Dow Jones Industrial Average in 1896, there have been 19 presidential elections that a sitting president was running for reelection. The Dow posted gains in 9 of these 19 post-election years. A struggling economy, European financial and political duress, ongoing foreign military operations, and a divided Washington are likely to keep a lid on the market in 2013. Prospects for 2013 improve should the market decline dramatically during the latter part of 2012.

    Post-Election Year Performance by Party

    There is a dramatic difference in market performance under the two parties in postelection and midterm years the last 15 administrations. More bear markets and negative market action have plagued Republican administrations in the post-election year whereas the midterm year has been worse under Democrats.

    Market Fares Better Under Democrats; Dollar Holds Up Under Republicans

    Since 1901, the Dow has averaged annual gains of 6.4% during Republican eras while the dollar has declined to 29 cents. During Democratic eras, the Dow has average annual gains of 13.0% and the dollar has declined to 11 cents. Under Obama, the Dow has gained 28.5% while the dollar has lost 5.8%, since Election Day 2008. There have been 14 recessions and 18 bear markets under the Republicans and 7 recessions and 16 bear markets under the Democrats.

    Republican Congress & Democratic President Best for the Market

    Historical performance of the Dow under Democratic and Republican presidents demonstrates a pattern that is contrary to popular belief. Under a Democrat, the Dow has performed better than under a Republican. The Dow has historically returned 10.0% under Democrats compared to 6.8% under a Republican executive.

    With total Republican control of Washington, the Dow has been up on average 14.1%. Democrats in power of the two branches have produced an average Dow gain of 7.4%. When power is split, with a Republican president and a Democratic Congress or a split Congress, the Dow has not done very well, averaging only a 5.4% gain. The best scenario for all investors has been a Democrat in the White House and Republican control of Congress, with average gains of 19.5%.

  • Stock Trader's Almanac 2014 (Almanac Investor Series)
    by Jeffrey A. Hirsch
    ISBN 1118659457 (1-118-65945-7)
    Softcover, Wiley

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    Book summary:

    A time-tested guide to stock trading market cycles and seasonal trends 

    Published every year since 1968, the Stock Trader's Almanac is a practical investment tool with a wealth of information organized in calendar format. Everyone from well-known money managers to savvy traders and investors relies upon this annual resource for its in-depth analyses and insights. The Stock Trader's Almanac 2014 contains essential historical price information on the stock market, provides monthly and daily reminders, and highlights seasonal trading opportunities and dangers. 

    The STA is now bound with a lexitone cover and an attractive gold spiral with gold foil stamping. This new format is more user-friendly and lies flat when open, easier for making notes.  It is also lighter and more portable.  This version harkens back to the original STA format that Yale Hirsch pioneered over 40 years ago. 

    The Stock Trader's Almanac 2014 is packed with timely insights and targeted analysis to help you navigate turbulent markets and beat the odds in the year ahead. This trusted guide combines over a century's worth of data, statistics, and trends along with vital analysis you won't get anywhere else.

    • Alerts you to little-known market patterns and tendencies to help forecast market trends with accuracy and confidence
    • An indispensable annual resource, trusted for over 40 years by traders and investors
    • The data in the Almanac is some of the best in the business 

    For its wealth of information and the authority of its sources, the Stock Trader's Almanac stands alone as the guide to intelligent investing.

  • Hirsch, Jeffrey A.: Stock Trader's and Commodity Trader's Almanacs 2010 Set (Almanac Investor)
  • Hirsch, Jeffrey A.: Super Boom: Why the Dow Jones Will Hit 38,820 and How You Can Profit From It
    Super Boom: Why the Dow Jones Will Hit 38,820 and How You Can Profit From It
    by Jeffrey A. Hirsch
    ISBN 1118157192 (1-118-15719-2)
    Softcover, Wiley

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    Book summary:

    As someone who views the investment glass half empty, I would normally treat a forecasted price target for the Dow Jones Industrial of 38,820 as hyperbolic and outlandish.  That is, unless the forecaster is Jeff Hirsch!  Jeff is bred in the purple and has royalty in his investment blood as his legendary dad, Yale Hirsch, was the dean of all technical analysts (and was the first of his kind to accurately predict the roaring Bull Market of 1974-1990). More importantly, Jeff's rationale for another super boom is well articulated in his own unique set of facts, figures and dissection of history.  To every serious investor I say, Read Super Boom or Perish!

     Douglas A. Kass, President, Seabreeze Partners Management Inc.

     Jeff Hirsch delivers a 500% effort in Super Boom. Unless you're closed minded or comatose there is a lot, lot more here than any investment reader can normally hope for. The visuals and data alone are worth many times the price.

    Ken Fisher, Founder and CEO, Fisher Investments, Forbes "Portfolio Strategy" Columnist, 5-time New York Times bestselling author

    Super Boom reminds the reader of the power of compounding. DJIA 38,820 by 2025 might sound like an outrageous level, but the implied sub-9% compound annual growth rate (following a decade of decline) makes the target appear more attainable. Within these pages, Jeff demonstrates that he has learned a lot from his father and has inherited the reputation as a renowned and respected market historian.

     Sam Stovall, Chief Investment Strategist, Standard & Poor's Equity Research

      As a kid I taught Jeff how to catch big rainbow trout in Montana. In Super Boom, he's returned the favor by showing us how to catch a monster stock market move. A must-read book.

    Larry Williams, trader

    Q&A with Author Jeffrey Hirsch Author Jeffrey Hirsch How will I know when the next Super Boom has begun? The precise date is not known, however there are several signs to watch for: a quick rise in inflation followed by a moderation in inflation, the end of the war in Afghanistan and the presence of U.S. combat troops on the ground overseas, a new paradigm shifting technology is gaining in popularity, and commodities begin to cool. What happens between now and 2017 or when the boom begins? I expect the market (Dow) to trade in a range of 7,000 to 14,000, suffering a bear market or two or three. This will provide investors ample opportunity to accumulate shares at low valuations, putting their portfolios in position for massive profits from 2017 to 2025 and beyond. Is this pattern a new discovery? No. Yale Hirsch first observed the pattern in the 1970s. It enabled him to make his bulls-eye forecast in 1976 for the last boom. How confident are you that a Super Boom is coming? Quite. Although the exact date when the next Boom begins may not fall in 2017, based upon the previous three Booms, it is likely to begin sometime around that year. Is now the right time to be buying stocks ahead of the coming Super Boom? The best time to buy would be when the DJIA is below 10,000 or an official bear market has been declared by the media. I have read other books making similar grandiose bullish claims. Why is yours any different? Unlike previous forecasts, mine is based upon three previous occurrences. There is no new modeling or valuation theory that needs to be explained or understood. My forecast is based upon the effects of war, inflation and technological innovation on stock markets. All of this is happening now and it has happened before. So a stock Super Boom is coming. Should I dump all other asset classes and put everything into the stock market? No, you should not dump everything and move entirely to stocks. Maintain a diversified approach to long-term investing. Lighten up on under performing assets and increase exposure to stocks. Numerous structural problems exist at present. (Soaring debt, tightening regulation, surging energy prices, etc.) Has this been taken into consideration by your forecast? We are aware that the economy is more mature that in the past and that we can expect revolts, revolutions, environmental problems, monetary crises, scandals, droughts, more inflation, a few recessions and bear markets, not to mention a plague or two along the way. However, during the three previous 500 percent movesor for that matter, the last 5,000 or more years--people always were afraid of something or other in the future. Somehow, we do seem to survive and overcome adversity. Timeline for Author's Forecasted Boom (click to see larger version) Graph of Past Booms (click to see larger version)

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    Jeffrey A. Hirsch
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